Публикации

Статьи

Статьи в журналах, рабочие документы МВФ, главы в книгах и эссе.

2026

2025

Significant publications

Books, articles Free downloads International MacroEconomics, 2014 International MicroEconomics, 2013 Applied MacroEconomics, 2006 International Economics, Vol. II, 2009 International Economics, Vol. I, 2007 Purchase electronic versions…

2023

Policy Space Index

Economic Analysis and Policy · Volume 79, September 2023, Pages 837-859

2022

Policy Space Index: Short-Term Response to a Catastrophic Event

IMF Working Paper, No. 2022/123 · No. 2022/123

José Ferrer and Alexei Kireyev (2022), IMF Working Paper 22/123. What policy space does a country have for a short-term response to a catastrophic event? To quantify this space, the paper proposes a policy space index. The index combines a…

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Djibouti’s Quest for Inclusive Growth

IMF Working Paper 17/270

The paper reviews Djibouti’s macroeconomic reforms aimed at achieving middle-income status as envisaged in Vision Djibouti 2035, the authorities’ development strategy. In this context, the paper reviews policy options available to the…

Leveraging Trade for Growth

IMF Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017

The strengthening global recovery provides a unique opportunity to use trade to boost growth.

Inclusive Growth Framework

IMF Working Paper 17/172

The paper suggests an operationally usable framework for the evaluation of growth inclusiveness—the inclusive growth framework (IGF). Based on the data on growth, poverty, and inequality, the framework allows for the quantitative…

Growth Inclusiveness in Djibouti

IMF Working Paper No.17/93

The paper examines the poverty-reducing and distributional characteristics of Djibouti’s economic growth, and discusses policies that might help make growth more inclusive. It covers the period between 2002 and 2013, for which comparable…

The Macroeconomics of De-Cashing

IMF Working Paper No.17/71

The paper presents a simple framework for the analysis of the macroeconomic implications of de-cashing. Defined as replacing paper currency with convertible deposits, de-cashing would affect all key macroeconomic sectors. The overall…

2016

Chapter "WTO Accession Reforms and Competitiveness"

African Perspectives on Trade and the WTO · Cambridge University Press, WTO

The book “African Perspectives on Trade and the WTO: Domestic Reforms, Structural Transformation and Global Economic Integration" brings together contributions from African policy-makers and representatives of partner institutions to…

A Network Model of Multilaterally Equilibrium Exchange Rates

IMF Working Paper · No. 16/130, with Andrei Leonidov

This paper proposes a network model of multilaterally equilibrium exchange rates. The model introduces a topological component into the exchange rate analysis, consistently taking into account simultaneous higher-order interactions among…

2015

China’s Imports Slowdown : Spillovers, Spillins, and Spillbacks.

IMF Working Paper · 16/51

The paper models international spillovers from a hypothetical drop of China’s imports as a result of China’s rebalancing of its growth model. A network-based model used in the paper allows capturing higher round network effects of the…

Network Effects of International Shocks and Spillovers

IMF Working Paper · 15/ 149

This paper proposes a method for assessing international spillovers from nominal demand shocks. It quantifies the impact of a shock in one country on all other countries. The paper concludes that the network effects in shock spillovers can…

2013

Inclusive Growth and Inequality in Senegal

IMF Working paper · No. 13/215

The paper examines Senegal’s growth performance from the perspective of its poverty educing and distributional characteristics, and discusses policies that might help make growth more inclusive. The main findings are that poverty has…

2012

What is the impact of a recovery in Côte d’Ivoire on the WAEMU region?

West African Economic and Monetary Union. Staff Report on Common Policies for Member Countries · March 22, 2012, IMF Country Report No. 12/59, pp.49-59

Côte d’Ivoire experienced political instability in the past 15 years. With the political crisis overcome, the economic outlook for Côte d’Ivoire is strong. There are two main channels through which the recovery in Côte d’Ivoire can affect…

2011

Теориии международной торговли XXI века

Альманах "Международная экономика" ГУ-ВШЭ

На протяжении практически всей истории классического периода теория международной торговли основывалась на двух основных посылках: (1) в основе торговли лежат сравнительные преимущества - различия в альтернативной стоимости товаров между…

Puzzle Кругмана

Альманах "Международная экономика" ГУ-ВШЭ

В 2008 г. Нобелевскую премию по экономике получил американский профессор Пол Кругман. Я воспринял это событие как личную победу. В 1993 г., во время обстрела танками Белого дома, я выиграл конкурс и стал первым российским экономистом в…

2010

Official Aid during the Global Economic Crisis

Regional economic outlook : Sub-Saharan Africa. -- Washington, D.C. · Chapter 3. Private External Financing Flows and the Global Financial Crisis; Box 3.3. Official Aid during the Global Economic Crisis

The economic slowdown in sub-Saharan Africa looks set to be mercifully brief. Recovery is now under way across the region. The region’s relative resilience during this global recession, compared with previous global downturns, owes much to…

2009

2008

2006

Privatizing Finance for Development

The Green Cross Optimist · Autumn, 2006

On a recent trip to Africa, a commentary in a local newspaper caught my attention: “What has changed in Africa after decades of aid for development?” asked the author. The answer was that everybody has a cell phone. The rest is the same.…

2002

2001

2000

1997

1992

Arms production

SIPRI Yearbook 1992 · Oxford University Press: Oxford, 1992, pp. 361-90 with P. Miggiano.

The SIPRI Yearbook 1992 continues SIPRI's review of the latest developments in nuclear weapons and examines the US–Soviet START Treaty and the Bush, Gorbachev and Yeltsin unilateral reduction initiatives, nuclear explosions, world military…